Katharina Hobgarski vs Louisa Chirico Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last six months, Chirico has a slight edge in second serve performance, winning 36.71% of points compared to Hobgarski's 34.11%.
• Chirico has been marginally better in returning opponents' second serves, winning 51.47% of these points, while Hobgarski's return success stands at 49.04%.
• On first serve returns, Hobgarski leads with 38.53% compared to Chirico's 35.79%.
• Under pressure, Hobgarski has a higher breakpoint save percentage at 46.56%, while Chirico saves 41.71%.
• Despite Chirico winning 54.29% of matches over the past year, Hobgarski's 70.83% win rate highlights a notable difference in consistency.
• Both players excel on clay, but Hobgarski has a superior win percentage (68%) compared to Chirico's 61% on this surface.
• In terms of competition level, Hobgarski has a slightly better success rate at the Challengers/ITF events, winning 67.31% compared to Chirico's 61.22%.
• Hobgarski won their only head-to-head matchup and leads in set wins, 2-1.
• In a deciding set, Chirico and Hobgarski have faced each other once, with Hobgarski emerging victorious.
• Chirico's average opponent rank over the past year has been higher (254.04) compared to Hobgarski's (469.26), which might explain Hobgarski's higher win rate.
• Both players have similar deciding set win percentages overall, with Chirico at 52% and Hobgarski at 50% over the last year.
• Hobgarski's breakpoint conversion is slightly better at 44.89% compared to Chirico's 40.21%.

Editorial Prediction (July 6, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Chirico and Hobgarski presents an intriguing blend of form, surface preference, and past encounters. Chirico possesses a slight advantage in second serve performance which often translates into scoring opportunities. However, the difference is minimal, and Hobgarski's resilience in saving breakpoints could tip the scales during critical junctures.

Hobgarski has shown greater consistency this past year, reflected in her 70.83% win rate compared to Chirico’s 54.29%. Even though both players excel on clay, Hobgarski's superior win percentage on the surface adds another layer of challenge for Chirico.

In their only past encounter, Hobgarski claimed victory, showcasing her ability to handle Chirico’s game effectively, especially if the match extends to a deciding set. Although Chirico has faced tougher opponents on average, Hobgarski’s record against lesser-ranked players remains impressive.

Considering all statistics and their previous matchup outcomes, Hobgarski seems to have a slight edge, making her the likely favorite to win the upcoming match against Chirico.